Thursday, September 16, 2010

NZ central bank held key interest rate at 3% Thursday

WELLINGTON, New Zealand: New Zealand's central bank held its key interest at 3 percent Thursday, noting a 7.1-magnitude earthquake 12 days ago had caused substantial disruption to the economy that will continue for some time.

The Reserve Bank also said that the domestic economy remains weak, with the household sector cautious, soft consumer spending and credit demand, and falling house sales.

The rate hold follows two successive quarter-point increases that lifted the rate to 3 percent from its record low of 2.5 percent, where it was held for 13 months to counter the worldwide recession.

"While the global and domestic economies continue to recover, the outlook has weakened since our June statement. We consider it appropriate at this point to keep the OCR on hold," said Reserve Bank Governor Alan Bollard.

"The earthquake that struck Canterbury on Sept. 4 has significantly disrupted economic activity and is likely to continue to do so for some time yet," he said in a statement.

Bollard also noted that expansion in the global economy appears to have slowed, "with forward indicators of US growth, in particular, deteriorating noticeably."

Despite the weakened outlook, the bank said it still expects that growth will progressively absorb current surplus capacity over the next few years.

But it signaled a clear slowing in the pace of rises in its official cash rate.

"Over time, it is likely that further removal of monetary policy support will be required," Bollard said. "The pace and extent of further OCR increases is likely to be more moderate than was projected in the June statement," he added. - AP

Sunday, September 12, 2010

Week 104: Gained 7.2%

Only two trades this week after four consecutive weeks of losses. Not in the right condition to trades most of the time. Reasons being unable to find right opening and low confidence level after so many blows. Gained 6.7% or 80 pips from USD/CAD pair on Wednesday at GMT13:01 after a major CAD news announcement.

Week 103: Loss 9.4%

With August trading month coming to an end, I almost undone everything I have gained in the month of July. Stopped all trading activities from Sept 2. Taking a break and regroup my mind and body in preparation for the exciting Sept. Have to be at ease, relaxed and confident with myself. Overcoming oneself before you face the trading world.

Wednesday, September 1, 2010

Week 102: Loss 14.9%

Another disappointing week. With 6 substantial losses and only two scalped win. Recorded a double digit loss in percentage this week. Again the restlessness and recklessness reigned my emotions during trading. Desperate to overturn last week losses, I lost control of my trading rules. Lose your mind lose your money. Learn the lesson!

Saturday, August 21, 2010

Week 101: Loss 2.6%

Started the week on a bad footing. Made two substantial losses from the first two trades of the week. Lost 4.5% from GBP/USD pair followed by another 3.9% loss from GBP/JPY pair made me fearful that my winning run might come to an abrupt end. Subsequent trades were made in desperate measures without clear trading signals. Managed to salvage back some losses from few scalp trades along the way. Unfortunately the consecutive winning week had to come to an end.

Sunday, August 15, 2010

Week 100: A 0.6% gain.

The Week 100 ended with 0.6% gain. Total pips gain was 10. Most of the trades were scalps with the biggest win coming from EUR/JPY with 2.1% gain on 11 August 2010 while the biggest loss comes from USD/JPY pair with 3.5% loss a day earlier. Managed to scalps few wins to claw back to green territory.

However, there are two open trades with negative result. Real time portfolio result were not that encouraging. Have to wait till next week to see the result.

Wednesday, August 11, 2010

Where is the confidence?

Had 5 trades so far, one win, one loss and 3 scalped win. Overall this week portfolio was down a little. And the running trade, NZD/JPY from last week is still open, currently down approximately 190 pips. Real time status for this trade is -12%. Did not managed to get out when it was at a smaller loss. Unwilling to accept the loss and ended up constipating the trade. Managed to recover some losses from yesterday USD/JPY trade that cost me 3.5% of my portfolio. Shorted EUR/JPY today at GMT5:37 at 111.733 without any profit target set. And closed it with only 24pips profit to recoup 2.1% of portfolio. The pair managed to hit the low of 109.764 at GMT14:00 for additional 170+ pips. The trend look rock solid for a downtrend but I was sceptical. I was not confident enough.

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